By Nyima, PolitiPorn Trantric Statitistal Analyst
As a trend the favorability ratings of the two candidates suggest a predictable slide from peak levels by both candidates with John McCain leading with an 11% increase in frowny faces from his February peak. Obama’s slide was far less pronounced losing only three percent of friendly faces from his peak in June. To put the McCain train wreck in perspective, our dull-witted president managed only a 5% slide during the same period (note starting with a 34% approval rating in February Bush would have needed a public nipple slip to sink more than 5 points.)
Obama supporters should be giving each other feminine high fives today considering the historic implications of the approval rating advantage. As shown in the table below, approval ratings have offered a solid forecast of the election results for the past four elections. So get cocky Obama-Nation this one is in the bag!
As for John McCain, you lost us at “My Friends.”
|
Gallup (Favorability) |
24-Oct-08 |
|||
|
|
Year |
Peak |
October |
From Peak |
|
Obama |
2008 |
64% (Jun) |
61% |
-3% |
|
McCain |
2008 |
68% (Feb) |
57% |
-11% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Historic |
Year |
October |
Final |
Change |
|
George W. Bush |
2004 |
54% |
53% |
-1% |
|
John Kerry |
2004 |
52% |
51% |
-1% |
|
George W. Bush |
2000 |
62% |
58% |
-4% |
|
Al Gore |
2000 |
53% |
55% |
2% |
|
Bill Clinton |
1996 |
59% |
56% |
-3% |
|
Bob Dole |
1996 |
53% |
51% |
-2% |
|
Bill Clinton |
1992 |
49% |
51% |
2% |
|
George H.W. Bush |
1992 |
46% |
46% |
0% |
|
Ross Perot |
1992 |
44% |
46% |
2% |
PolitiPorn™ 